Mati Greenspan, Senior Market Analyst at FX broker eToro, has provided his daily commentary on traditional and crypto markets for December 10, 2018.
Highlights include:
- Weak Jobs Numbers Leads Gloomy News Cycle: Weaker jobs, weaker stance taken by Fed and the latest disagreement between Xi and Trump are all affecting the market. The focus is now shifted toward central bank policy with the ECB and Swiss National Bank making the latest rate decisions on Thursday.
- OPEC Strikes Deal to Cut Global Production: Prices surged on Friday as OPEC and some non-OPEC producers announced they would cut oil supply by 1.2 million bpd starting January. Prices this week remain stable. Separately, gold has been gaining on the back of a weaker USD.
- Dash Falls 2x As Much As Other Cryptos Despite Gaining Partnerships: Dash has been making excellent progress adding merchants, most recently signing a partnership with KFC to start accepting Dash payments in Venezuela. Papa John’s and Subway are already successfully using Dash.
Traditional Markets
The Jobs numbers didn’t come in so hot on Friday and the markets ended up falling to their lows. The sentiment was so negative by the end of the week that when the futures opened last night, they opened with a large gap down.
However, headlines this morning saying that stocks are down may not be entirely forthcoming. The down they’re referring to is simply because of the gap down at the open. Since the open, they’ve been fairly mixed with some regions up, some down, and some flat.
So far this morning, the news cycle is rather gloomy but it really doesn’t seem to matter. The markets are far from reacting to the fundamentals anyway. The weaker than expected jobs numbers on Friday should probably have been taken by the markets as a positive sign. Yet, here we are.
The weaker stance taken by the Fed coupled with the recent agreement between Xi and Trump should be supporting the markets at the moment but I rest my case.
Focus has now shifted to central bank policy again. This Thursday we’ll get the interest rate decisions from the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank. Next week we’ll hear from the US Federal Reserve.
OPEC Strikes a Deal
Seems that OPEC was able to strike a deal on Friday to cut global production.
The market reaction shortly after the deal was announced (purple circle) was a swift rally in crude oil prices, but half the move reveresed by the time the markets closed and so far this week prices are remarkably stable.
Also, keep an eye on gold today. The shiny yellow metal has been gaining on the back of a weaker Greenback.
Dash to Fast Food Adoption
Just as we noticed above, there is a great diversion between what’s happening in the news and what’s happening in the prices. An excellent example of that is Dash currency, which has had some excellent updates lately yet has fallen about twice as much as any other crypto in the last 24 hours.
Dash has been making excellent progress on the ground lately, especially where crypto is needed most. This latest headline shows they are set to vastly increase their market share of overall money in Venezuela.
KFC isn’t the first major fast food chain to go Dash either. Both Papa John’s and Subway are already successfully using Dash for fast fast-food payments.
In general, Dash has been adding merchants left and right. The directory site keeping track has already counted more than 4,400 locations, especially in Venezuela.
Furthermore, the Dash Core Foundation has recently reported that they’re weathering the storm quite well and that the network’s coffers are more than sufficient to sustain operations and even expand further.
Addressing directly the bear market and the climate squeeze that we mentioned in our daily update last Wednesday (titled: Digital Natural Selection), the CEO of Dash Core Group has written this blog post explaining that the finances of DCG are in excellent shape.
Given this type of fundamental dissonance at play, it can make it difficult for the average investor to choose the projects that have a bright future and distinguish them from those that are in for a sharper downturn.
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