In Swissquote’s Monday short term technical trading report, the research team outlines the major technical levels of popular currency instruments with forecasts, below is the outline for EUR/USD and GBP/USD. To view and download the entire report, click here (PDF).
EUR/USD: Persistent selling pressures underway
• EUR/USD continues to move lower. The recent new lows confirm persistent selling pressures. The short-term technical structure is negative as long as prices remain below the hourly resistance at 1.3297 (22/08/2014 high). Another resistance stands at 1.3336 (12/08/2014 low).
• In the longer term, EUR/USD is in a succession of lower highs and lower lows since May 2014. The downside risk given by 1.3210 (second leg lower after the rebound from 1.3503 to 1.3700) has been met. Monitor the key support at 1.3105 (06/09/2013 low) given the general oversold conditions. A key resistance lies at 1.3444 (28/07/2014 high).
USD/JPY: Pushing higher
• USD/JPY continues to move higher, breaching the key resistance at 104.13. Hourly supports can now be found at 103.50 (22/08/2014 low) and 102.91 (intraday low, see also the rising trendline).
• A long-term bullish bias is favoured as long as the key support 100.76 (04/02/2014 low) holds. The break to the upside out of the consolidation phase between 100.76 (04/02/2014 low) and 103.02 favours a resumption of the underlying bullish trend. Strong resistances can be found at 105.44 (02/01/2014 high) and 110.66 (15/08/2008 high).
