The Preliminary HCOB Services PMI for December dropped to 48.1, a decline from November's 48.7, defying expectations of a slight rise to 49. This indicates that the activity in the Eurozone’s crucial services sector is shrinking more rapidly than it did in the previous month. Similarly, the Manufacturing PMI remained static at 44.2, contrary to…
Read more
In addition to the information mentioned above, the non-farm payrolls report also revealed that the Unemployment Rate declined, dropping from 3.9% in the same period to 3.7%. This shift indicates a positive trend in the labour market. As measured by the change in Average Hourly Earnings, annual wage inflation remained stable at 4%, aligning with…
Read more
The EURUSD currency pair fell for the fourth consecutive session as the single currency continued to gain ground against the US dollar. The single currency struggled to hold on to its gains against the greenback as the dollar was relatively strong against most of its peers, as tracked by the US Dollar Index. The release…
Read more
Technical View: Markets to Watch for the Week Ahead Currencies: US Dollar Eyeing the 101.92 Low With Friday’s one-sided decline, it was a disappointing week for the Dollar Index, down -0.6%. Trend studies on the monthly timeframe show price action has been northbound since bottoming in 2008 at 70.70. Q4 (2022), as you can see,…
Read more
EURUSD Euro doesn’t have any significant driving narrative against the US dollar, that’s why it’s likely to observe a reversal after the interest rate publication. The overall dynamics of EURUSD remain to be “technical”, as there’s no clear fundamental narrative is detected. AUDUSD The Australian dollar gained significant momentum after RBA raised the interest rate…
Read more
EURUSD, daily This will likely be a rather volatile week for the pair since there is major data related to EUR and USD in 3 consecutive days this week with the peak on Friday where the “king” of publications the NFP is set to be released. FOMC minutes last week confirmed that the main objective…
Read more
GBP/USD: Downside Move Unsurprising GBP/USD initially rose following the announcement to increase the Bank Rate, though it failed to find acceptance north of the $1.26 level. Subsequent flow witnessed a one-sided decline unfold to $1.25 during US trading. The recent bout of selling should not have raised too many eyebrows, particularly for those who adopt…
Read more
Market Reaction; Where Next for the Euro? The immediate aftermath of the US CPI release witnessed the EUR/USD catch a bid and eventually knock some of the wind out of the $1.10 handle: a clear-cut bull trap which likely ensnared breakout buyers and consumed several protective stops from those attempting to fade the psychological level.…
Read more
EUR/USD Technical View The EUR/USD aggressively explored lower levels following the rate announcement. Leaving the underside of $1.11 unchallenged, downside pressure led H1 price action into a floor of bids around the $1.10 psychological figure. I am sure most would agree that the H1 chart is a bit of a mess; although we are rebounding…
Read more
On the technical side the price on the fiber chart has found resistance on the upper band of the Bollinger bands and has since corrected to the downside. The 50 SMA has crossed above the 100 SMA indicating the bull movement is still strong while the Stochastic oscillator is not indicating any overbought or oversold…
Read more