On the technical analysis point of view the price is currently trading around the $1,740just above the 61.8% of the Fibonacci retracement level. With a bear flag formation forming in the last 4 days we might see some continuation to the downside with a very strong area of support around the $1,712 price area which…
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From a technical point of view, a clear move back above $80 seems to be unlikely as of now given this area’s importance as a psychological resistance and buying saturation based on the slow stochastic. ATR of around $2.20 is now about half the peak in December, though, so a retest of $80 seems very…
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The obvious near-term resistance here is the value area between the 100 and 200 SMAs. Whether this might be tested on Wednesday morning is likely to depend on how markets perceive the accompanying commentary from Dr Orr and other senior members of the RBNZ, not just whether the cash rate is hiked as expected. Lower…
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Wednesday is the big day this week for dollar-yen, with advance quarterly GDP data from the USA coming ahead of the FOMC’s meeting. Very poor data is already priced in but how the Fed interprets the figures might be key for ongoing direction in the latter part of the week. Key data points Wednesday 29…
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ActivTrades’ Market Analysts have prepared for LeapRate their daily commentary on traditional markets for August 1, 2019. See details below: FOREX The US Dollar recorded gains, following yesterday’s announcement of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed. It Is counterintuitive that a rate cut is followed by a strengthening of the currency, but…
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The following article is courtesy of AETOS analyst Ryan Chen. Part I and Part II of the report can be seen here and here. Impact on foreign currency market of the Fed’s policy shift It is a fact that the Fed has entered the end of its tightening cycle. However, in currency markets, even after the…
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The following article is courtesy of AETOS analyst Ryan Chen. Part I of the report can be seen here. Reality not as silky as ideal As early as the end of 2018, there was sign that the Fed was shifting to dovish monetary policy. Fed Chairman Powell said, in a speech at the end of…
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The following article is courtesy of AETOS analyst Ryan Chen. Why the shift in monetary policy Prior to the beginning of 2019, America saw a quarter threatened by a growing crisis. On October 3, 2018, starting with Federal Reserve Board Chairman Powell's statement that "It is still a long way before the neutral interest rate,"…
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The Japanese yen is getting crushed - dropped with 0.7% at 118.0250 per dollar as of 7:38 a.m ET. This happens in the aftermath of the Federal Reserve's decision to raise rates for the second time this decade. As most of the market watchers expected, the Federal Reserve decided to raise its benchmark interest rate by 25…
Read moreThe Federal Reserve has made the following decisions to implement the monetary policy stance announced by the Federal Open Market Committee in its statement on July 27, 2016: • The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System left unchanged the interest rate paid on required and excess reserve balances at 0.50%. • As part…
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