Market Reaction; Where Next for the Euro? The immediate aftermath of the US CPI release witnessed the EUR/USD catch a bid and eventually knock some of the wind out of the $1.10 handle: a clear-cut bull trap which likely ensnared breakout buyers and consumed several protective stops from those attempting to fade the psychological level.…
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EUR/USD Technical View The EUR/USD aggressively explored lower levels following the rate announcement. Leaving the underside of $1.11 unchallenged, downside pressure led H1 price action into a floor of bids around the $1.10 psychological figure. I am sure most would agree that the H1 chart is a bit of a mess; although we are rebounding…
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USD/JPY Direction Having noted price movement testing the mettle of weekly resistance at ¥137.23 and daily price on the verge of reclaiming space back under the 200-day simple moving average (aided by an RSI oversold signal), this appears to be a sellers’ market for the time being, at least technically speaking. While there is a…
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On the technical side the price on the fiber chart has found resistance on the upper band of the Bollinger bands and has since corrected to the downside. The 50 SMA has crossed above the 100 SMA indicating the bull movement is still strong while the Stochastic oscillator is not indicating any overbought or oversold…
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EUR/USD Technical View: The technical outlook for the EUR/USD is optimistic on the weekly chart, finding some comfort north of support at $1.0888. Technically speaking, the currency pair is in the early phase of an uptrend on the weekly after pencilling in a higher high at $1.1076 last week, which opens the gate for a…
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GBP/USD Currency Pair Projecting Further Upside Kicking things off with a look at where we are on the weekly scale, buyers appear reluctant to push beyond YTD tops. Still, the weekly chart demonstrates scope to approach as far north as resistance from $1.2767, a long-term horizontal base sharing chart space with a trendline resistance from…
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Seasonality: Another important factor for Natural gas is seasonality. The price of this commodity usually peaks in Winter (the withdrawal period) and in summer (the injection period). Now there’s a potential dip between seasonal trends, and considering a softening in the monetary policy from FED, it’s possible to see at least some pullback, which might…
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AUD/USD Technical Position: Since the beginning of March, the AUD/USD currency pair has echoed a subdued tone around the late November lows (2022) at $0.6585 on the weekly timeframe. Overhead, resistance warrants attention at $0.7020 with scope to pursue deeper terrain as far south as demand from $0.5975-0.6166. Interestingly, out of the daily timeframe, buyers…
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Technical Confluence Accompanying the AB=CD pattern is price shaking hands with the lower Bollinger Band (set to three standard deviations) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) exiting oversold territory. Therefore, the supporting technical confluence—momentum and volatility indicators—suggests a short-term push to the upside may unfold, targeting the aforementioned Fibonacci retracement ratios. Charts: TradingView Meanwhile, after…
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Short-Term View Ahead of FOMC Minutes Based on the H1 timeframe, it is obvious that there is a notable downside bias, with price action close to testing support at 101.44. In the event of a spike higher, resistance warrants consideration at 101.82. Therefore, given the bearish vibe derived from the bigger picture, 101.44 support appears…
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