The clear target for old buyers is the 161.8% weekly Fibonacci extension just below $90. Finding an entry as a new buyer is likely to be difficult here, but a bounce seems possible from the 38.2% zone of the weekly Fibo fan and definitely from the psychological area around $80. Brent has been strongly overbought…
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The obvious near-term resistance here is the value area between the 100 and 200 SMAs. Whether this might be tested on Wednesday morning is likely to depend on how markets perceive the accompanying commentary from Dr Orr and other senior members of the RBNZ, not just whether the cash rate is hiked as expected. Lower…
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The pound seems to be standing at a crossroads with key technical references above and below, the 161.8% weekly Fibonacci retracement area and the 200 SMA respectively. Based on TA alone, consolidation and sideways movement would usually be favourable in this situation. However, the important economic releases from the USA and the UK on Wednesday…
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The 61.8% area of the weekly Fibonacci fan seems to be quite a strong dynamic support from which a bounce might be expected, but the bunching of the 50, 100 and 200 SMAs might make significant movement upward from here a challenge. 15 July’s high around $1,834 seems to be the main static resistance in…
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Sentiment on the euro though is weak: strong data around the end of 2020 and beginning of 2021 have generally been replaced by more lacklustre figures from major economies, and the Delta variant is likely to dent many countries’ plans to ease remaining anti-covid measures. Tuesday’s close at R17.33 was a two-month high for EURZAR,…
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While a retest of the multi-year low around ¥6.36 doesn’t seem likely in the immediate future, a movement above the 200 SMA is also unfavourable. With no sign of saturation and the significant low quite close, consolidation with the value area between the 50 and 100 SMAs seems to be possible in the absence of…
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Australian dollar-US dollar, daily The Aussie dollar has recovered somewhat against its American counterpart since last week as sellers’ initial enthusiasm has worn off and most industrial commodities, Australia’s key exports, remain close to record highs. Sales of iron ore from Australia to China surged 20% in May, while Australian recovery measured by GDP growth…
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Price seems to have broken through the 61.8% area of the weekly Fibonacci fan with two daily closes in succession above this area. Moving averages still give a sell signal, but the value area between the 100 and 200 SMAs has shrunk considerably. Movement above this area might signal more gains to come for the…
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The 161.8% weekly Fibonacci extension area based on the US dollar’s gains in March last year remains the key technical reference. As of now, a clear push below this zone still looks unlikely. Conversely, a movement above the 50 SMA from Bands, which seems likely in the near future, probably won’t signal a reversal. Instead,…
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Balance of trade from both countries plus of course American core inflation are the key releases to watch this week. The BoC’s meeting on Wednesday afternoon GMT is unlikely to generate a clear movement on this chart but volatility during the subsequent press conference could increase as traders try to read behind the lines of…
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